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Uncategorized Wednesday, March 21st 2012 at 5:40 pm

Elon Musk Says He Can Get to Mars for $500,000 a Person, But How?

SpaceX’s Elon Musk is extremely passionate about space travel, and especially so about Mars. It’s no secret that he aspires to make SpaceX’s Dragon capsule the first commercial vessel to land on the red planet. However, in an interview with the BBC he claimed that not only could he do it, but that it would only cost a passenger $500,000. While Musk acknowledges that the price tag is immaterial — and conjectural — he did hint at big news coming soon.

When speaking to the BBC, Musk said that key to SpaceX’s budget-rate plan to get to Mars was reusability and refueling.

“My vision is for a fully reusable rocket transport system between Earth and Mars that is able to re-fuel on Mars – this is very important – so you don’t have to carry the return fuel when you go there,” he said.

“The whole system [must be] reusable – nothing is thrown away. That’s very important because then you’re just down to the cost of the propellant.

“We will probably unveil the overall strategy later this year in a little more detail, but I’m quite confident that it could work and that ultimately we could offer a round trip to Mars that the average person could afford – let’s say the average person after they’ve made some savings.”

In previous announcements, Musk has already revealed SpaceX’s intention to create a fully reusable self-landing launch system. However, in this interview he also spoke about the importance of the Falcon Heavy — the heavy lift variant of SpaceX’s family of rockets.

Taken all together, a picture of what SpaceX may soon be announcing begins to shape. It sounds like Musk is not only planning for a two-stage reusable rocket, but to bring that technology to much larger rockets like the Falcon Heavy. His statements about refueling on Mars are particularly tantilizing. While it’s nice to think that SpaceX has plans to build a gas station on the red planet, it seems far more likely that he’s going to propose some kind of in-space refueling scheme.

If that’s the case, a super-cheap SpaceX mission to Mars would begin with the crew vehicle launching atop a large, reusable rocket system. It would cruise to Mars, probably with some kind of larger crew compartment for the ride. Meanwhile, a second rocket blasts off sending a module packed with fuel and supplies on a longer trajectory to Mars. After the crewed mission is complete and about to head home, it meets up with the second unmanned craft and restocks.

While this is just my personal conjecture, it’s not without precedent. For instance, NASA has already begun to recognize the importance of space-bound fuel depots as a way to cut costs by lowering the weight that needs to be blasted off from Earth. In their 2013 budget projections, the space agency made development of “Cryogenic Propellant Storage and Transfer” a priority. From the NASA budgetary document:

The Cryogenic Propellant Storage and Transfer demonstration mission will conduct ground tests of the critical technologies required to enable long-term storage and handling of cryogenic fluids in space in preparation for a flight demonstration.

A NASA webpage on the project — which may be outdated — mentions a 2016 timeframe for the launch of a demonstrator project.

We’ll have to wait for Musk and his team at SpaceX to announce how they plan to get to Mars on the cheap, but it’s clear that despite some hiccups in the SpaceX mission to the International Space Station, Musk is still dreaming big.

(BBC via Extreme Tech, image via Wikipedia)

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  • Summermouse

    Hello Geeks and Si-Fi and treckies Ive been to mars , I found a amazing worm hole  2 years ago, there is a big red rock on the surface a little bit like Aires rock in Australia but it is very smooth and in the shape of a teardrop, The martians are pretty friendly and very advanced in all aspects, Im sure that NASA is right I wrote 2016 down for Mars right on the button NASA !!

  • Para

    Now, as part of my Physics degree, we had to plan a mission to Mars.
    Everyone came to the completely correct conclusion that it’s nigh on impossible, unless you make money no object – but despite that, this mission seems to be highly similar to what we planned. Multiple rockets, meeting along the route, etc.
    The reusability I’m sceptical of, as well. our mission ended with docking at the ISS, and only the equipment rocket actually landed on Mars, and had to be crashed there.

    Also, whilst you can produce fuel on Mars, you do have to take a quantity (I believe we ‘used’ 5-10 tons) of hydrogen, to use with the fuel you generate, and even with that much fuel, only two tons of payload could be taken from the surface.

  • Armani

    shut up ^^^
    joking joking joking. thats true bro. but remember 10 to 20 years from now, new technologies will emerge and new ideas.

  • Nirm

    There is an
    even better option that has been proposed by others.

    Send a nuclear
    powered robotic propellant factory to the surface of Mars surface a year or so
    in advance. It will produce H2, H2O, O2 and CH4 using the carbides, oxides and
    hydrides in the Martian atmosphere and soil an will store them safely

    The astronaut
    will land on Mars use the water, electricity, hydrogen, oxygen and all the
    goodies waiting for them there to live and then to get back to the orbiter
    circling Mars and then get back home.

    When they
    leave the astronauts will do some maintenance and upgrade to the power plant an
    propellant factory for the next batch of astronauts,

    I think this
    is the most logical plan. This would be not like the moon shot. Go there take a
    peek and the forget about it. It would be going for a Mars base and permanent presence
    from day one. Nothing will be thrown away and infrastructure would be continuously
    built until Mars autonomy is achieved.

    Exciting
    times ahead.

     

     

     

     

  • TheANt

    Er no, he cant transport anyone living for that cost.

    I am sure he mean that it is possible to transport the dead mass equivalent of a human being for that 500000$ But his vehicle are powered by chemical rockets which means there need to be stockpiles of food and air for at least a one year trip.

    Then you cannot travel unprotected in deep space, so unless Mr Musk have developed a magic Star trek type forcefield the intrepid astronaut will not live to see a happy retirement. In fact one study have shown that the astronauts might have their brains quite scrambled by cosmic rays, and the eyes quite damaged by said particles. (The astronauts that traveled to the Moon did experience and could see those as flashes, yet with the about one week trips they did to the moon they experienced no major damage to the eyes.)
    About 1 year in open space is a completely different story, some kind of gym might be needed for that long duration trip. Whatever ship that go to Mars ends up looking as complex as the ISS. And there went that low price tag to the same shelf as the other pipe dreams we’ve seen over the years..

  • RAN man

    He did not leave a precise timeline for these goals. He could be projecting an idea for his company’s exciting future, as most CEO’s do. Obviously this is not going to be possible like within a YEAR, but perhaps within a couple decades. Plenty of breakthroughs and advancements to made.

    Your negativity and doubt is what fuels the dreamers’ motiviation. I encourage you to continue